AHDB: Boneless product continues to dominate UK pig meat imports
This signals that the market is continuing to make use of butchery capacity abroad, a trend which begun in early 2020 as a result of the first Covid-19 lockdown in the UK and as we approached the end of the Brexit transition period. Both of these events severely impacted the domestic butchery, with skilled staff either off sick or deciding to leave the UK.
However, with UK pig meat production forecast to end the year down 15%, domestic processing capacity is currently facing an economic challenge rather than one of capacity. The restructuring within the processing sector regrettably evidences this.
Exports have not seen the same change in product type as imports, as bone-in product has always been more dominant. In April the UK exported 10,100 tonnes of fresh/frozen pork, of which 5,400 tonnes (53%) was bone-in, while 1,300 tonnes (13%) was made up of boneless product. For the year to date (Jan-Apr) 44,800 tonnes fresh/frozen pork has been exported from the UK: 24,100 tonnes (54%) of this being bone-in with only 5,700 tonnes (13%) of bone-less.
However, exports have seen a changing picture to the destination of product over the past 5 years. Historically, the vast majority of fresh/frozen pork exports were shipped directly into the EU, but the outbreak of ASF in China in 2018 led to vastly increased import demand, with China overtaking the EU as our main export partner in 2021. This was reversed in 2022 due to a plethora of factors, including Covid-19 restrictions being lifted in Europe and the UK, increasing demand closer to home, while the Chinese government's zero-Covid policy limited demand there.
This appears to be a trend that is continuing into 2023 despite the zero-Covid policy being lifted. Import demand in China has not bounced back to pre-pandemic volumes as domestic production has grown and a slow economic recovery leaves consumers feeling tight with their disposable incomes.
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